Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.035508 0.038686 0.041886 0.045344 0.048970 0.052652 0.056670
2025-11-16 0.030058 0.034723 0.039580 0.044989 0.050823 0.056903 0.063698
2025-11-23 0.027043 0.032880 0.039132 0.046272 0.054147 0.062519 0.072046
2025-11-30 0.024518 0.031251 0.038649 0.047284 0.056993 0.067487 0.079604
2025-12-07 0.022235 0.029642 0.037978 0.047902 0.059251 0.071694 0.086241
2025-12-14 0.020027 0.027908 0.036986 0.047998 0.060789 0.074995 0.091789
2025-12-21 0.018718 0.027112 0.036977 0.049132 0.063434 0.079485 0.098626
2025-12-28 0.016591 0.025151 0.035448 0.048361 0.063771 0.081264 0.102324
2026-01-04 0.015207 0.024010 0.034817 0.048579 0.065199 0.084243 0.107350
2026-01-11 0.014195 0.023267 0.034612 0.049254 0.067123 0.087766 0.112977
2026-01-18 0.013266 0.022563 0.034400 0.049875 0.068947 0.091145 0.118422
2026-01-25 0.011446 0.020529 0.032393 0.048179 0.067895 0.091074 0.119788
2026-02-01 0.010245 0.019291 0.031380 0.047717 0.068355 0.092826 0.123345
2026-02-08 0.009229 0.018246 0.030568 0.047469 0.069051 0.094846 0.127216
2026-02-15 0.008881 0.018156 0.031025 0.048851 0.071775 0.099316 0.134015
2026-02-22 0.008456 0.017917 0.031255 0.049924 0.074106 0.103309 0.140253
2026-03-01 0.007926 0.017477 0.031182 0.050575 0.075891 0.106633 0.145689
2026-03-08 0.007268 0.016785 0.030718 0.050681 0.076961 0.109069 0.150050
2026-03-15 0.006980 0.016669 0.031059 0.051856 0.079397 0.113186 0.156449
2026-03-22 0.006156 0.015597 0.029973 0.051060 0.079263 0.114106 0.158952
2026-03-29 0.005673 0.015068 0.029652 0.051286 0.080437 0.116639 0.163415
2026-04-05 0.005348 0.014787 0.029682 0.051984 0.082219 0.119924 0.168795
2026-04-12 0.005031 0.014496 0.029680 0.052626 0.083921 0.123108 0.174054